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Aug 30, 2023Liked by “Archi Cianfrocco”

Have you seen any data on how well the tto approach does at petco park overall? Its common knowledge that the ball doesnt travel as well at petco bc its closer to the ocean, I am thinking the padres could be doubly penalized in the TTO approach because of this

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Really interesting read! My only thought against it would be we don’t really seem to ever strikeout a lot, regardless of situation, in terms of K% - 9th best overall, 10th best with RISP, 13th best 7th inning or later. Maybe this is what you mean, but I wonder if the over commitment is just needing a hitter or two whose best skill is still is their ability to make contact?

I also wonder if you have any thoughts about our struggles with velocity. 47% of pitches League wide are classified as a fastball or sinker by statcast. They have easily the highest average velo’s at 94 and 93.3 and we rank 18th and 17th in terms of run value/100 against those pitches. We’re also one of the very worst against cutters which are the next hardest at 89 mph but only thrown 7% of the time. We usually seem to handle sliders, curves and change ups.

We’re inconsistent against starters, but wondering if the late inning struggles are cause we’re facing a bunch of dudes who just throw hard (and typically with good movement)?

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And sorry I didn’t write this but in talking about my thoughts against and K% I mean a potential over commitment to the three true outcomes

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