I hate to put too much stock in such a short series. A team with a .250 winning percentage will still have a very good chance of winning one game out of three and winning two isn’t all that improbable, especially if you have a pitcher like Crochet going.
Even if you assign the superior team an 80% chance of winning each game (assuming game outcomes are independent) that means they only win two games 64% of the time and win three about 50%.
Please let this series be one of those 50% or, at the very least, 64%! Either would make our lives so much less stressful.
Very anxious about this, reminding the final Rockies series we managed to lose at home. One glimmer was the way the team dominated SF on the road in their final series. Going into that series the Giants had a 6-4 lead in the season series and expected bad things. Hopefully that focus returns and we put them at 120 by Sunday evening.
I hate to put too much stock in such a short series. A team with a .250 winning percentage will still have a very good chance of winning one game out of three and winning two isn’t all that improbable, especially if you have a pitcher like Crochet going.
Even if you assign the superior team an 80% chance of winning each game (assuming game outcomes are independent) that means they only win two games 64% of the time and win three about 50%.
Please let this series be one of those 50% or, at the very least, 64%! Either would make our lives so much less stressful.
Very anxious about this, reminding the final Rockies series we managed to lose at home. One glimmer was the way the team dominated SF on the road in their final series. Going into that series the Giants had a 6-4 lead in the season series and expected bad things. Hopefully that focus returns and we put them at 120 by Sunday evening.